Tue., Nov. 28 notes

Tuesday Nov. 28, 2006

The Expt. #3 and Expt. #4 revised reports were collected today. The 1S1P Assignment #3 reports have all been graded and were returned in class.

A printed copy of the Quiz #4 Study Guide was handed out in class.

The material on hurricanes that we will cover today won't be on Quiz #4; there will be a few questions about hurricanes on the final exam.

You'll find the following sketch comparing a middle latitude storm and a hurricane on p. 141 in the photocopied notes.

Some of the similarities and differences (mostly differences) between these two kinds of storms are noted in the following table

Differences	Similarities	Differences
Found at middle latitudes (30 to 60 latitude) Can form over land or water	The term cyclone refers to winds spinning around low pressure, both storms have low pressure centers (the low pressure becomes high pressure at the top of a hurricane)	Found in the tropics (5 to 20 latitude) Only form over warm ocean water
Movement is from west to east	Upper level divergence cause lower the surface pressure and cause both types of storms to intensity	Movement is from east to west
Warm and cold air masses brought together by converging winds		Warm moist air mass only
Storm winds intensify with altitude		Storm winds weaken with altitude
Strongest storms usually occur in the winter		Strongest storms in the last summer to early fall

Hurricanes form over warm ocean water. The warm layer of water must be fairly deep to contain enough energy to fuel a hurricane and in order that mixing doesn't bring cold water up to the ocean surface. The atmosphere must be unstable so that thunderstorms can develop. Hurricanes will only form when there is very little or no vertical wind shear (changing wind direction or speed with altitude). Hurricanes don't form at the equator because there is no Coriolis force there.

The figure above shows the relative frequency of tropical cyclone development in different parts of the world. The name hurricane, cyclone, and typhoon all refer to the same type of storm (tropical cyclone is a general name that can be used anywhere). In most years the ocean off the coast of SE Asia is the world's most active hurricane zone. Hurricanes are very rare off the east and west coasts of South America.

Note that more tropical cyclones form off the west coast of the US than off the east coast. The west coast hurricanes don't generally get the same attention, because they move away from the coast and usually don't present a threat to the US. The moisture from these storms will sometimes be pulled up into the southwestern US where it can lead to heavy rain and flooding.

This figure shows when hurricanes are most common in the Atlantic. Hurricane season in the Atlantic officially runs from June 1 through to November 30. The peak of hurricane season is in September. Hurricane season in the Pacific begins on May 15 and runs through Nov. 30.

Some kind of meteorological process that produces low level convergence is needed to initiate a hurricane. One possibility, and the one that fuels most of the strong N. Atlantic hurricanes, is an "easterly wave." This is just a "wiggle" in the wind flow pattern. Easterly waves often form over Africa or just off the African coast and then travel toward the west across the N. Atlantic. Winds converge as they approach the wave and then divergence once they are past it. The convergence will cause air to rise and thunderstorms to begin to develop.

In some ways winds blowing through an easterly wave resembles traffic on a multi lane highway. Traffic will back up as it approaches a section of the highway with a closed lane. Once through the "bottleneck" traffic will begin to flow more freely.

In an average year, in the N. Atlantic, there will be 10 named storms (tropical storms or hurricanes) that develop during hurricane season. 2005 was, of course, a very unusual year. There were 28 named storms in the N. Atlantic in 2005. That beat the previous record of 21 names storms that had been set in 1933. Of the 28 named storms, 15 developed into hurricanes.

Winds blowing over mountains on the west coast of Mexico will sometimes form a surface low on the downwind side of the mountains. Note there are generally a few more tropical storms and hurricanes in the E. Pacific than in the N. Atlantic. They generally move away from the US coast, though the Hawaiian Islands are sometimes affected.

The next figure (redrawn after class for clarity) shows what can happen next when thunderstorms start to form together in a group and atmospheric conditions are right.

1. A meterological process of some kind causes surface winds to converge and form a group of thunderstorms. The converging winds pick up heat and moisture from the ocean. These are the two mains sources of energy for the hurricane.

2.   Rising air cools and thunderstorm clouds form. The release of latent heat during condensation warms the atmosphere. The core of a hurricane is warm.

3.   Pressure decreases more slowly with increasing altitude in the warm core of the hurricane. The result is that pressure at the top center of the hurricane is higher than the pressure further out from the hurricane. Upper levels winds diverge and spiral outward from the top center of the hurricane.

4.   The upper level divergence causes the surface pressure to decrease. The speed of the converging surface winds increases and the storm intensifies. The converging winds pick up additional heat and moisture which warms the core of the hurricane even more.

Stages of storm development. The developing storm receives a name when it reaches tropical storm strength. To be considered a hurricane the winds must be 74 MPH or greater (75 MPH might be easier to remember). Note the weather map symbols for northern hemisphere tropical storms and hurricanes (counterclockwise rotation)

A crossectional view of a mature hurricane and a picture like you might see on a satellite photograph. These figures were changed slightly after class.

Sinking air in the very center of a hurricane produces the clear skies of the eye, a hurricane's most distinctive feature. The eye is typically a few 10s of miles across, though it may only be a few miles across in the strongest hurricanes.

A ring of strong thunderstorms, the eye wall, surrounds the eye. This is where the hurricane's strongest winds are found.

Additional concentric rings of thunderstorms are found as you move outward from the center of the hurricane. These are called rain bands. These usually aren't visible until you get to the outer edge of the hurricane because they are covered by high altitude clouds.

Here is an easy to remember version of the Saffir Simpson scale used to classify hurricane strength and damage potential.

If you remember that winds must be 75 MPH or higher in order for a tropical cyclone to be a hurricane. In this easy to remember scale the winds increase by 20 MPH as you move up the scale.

Pressures decrease in 20 mb increments (start at 1000 mb and go down from there) and the height of the storm surge increases by 5 feet. It is thought that parts of the Louisianna and Mississippi coasts were hit with a 30 ft. storm surge as Hurricane Katrina moved onshore in 2005.

A 20 minute segment from a NOVA program (PBS network) on hurricanes was shown at the end of class. A film crew was on board a NOAA reconnaissance plane as it flew into the narrow eye of hurricane GILBERT. Gilbert set the record low sea level pressure reading for the Atlantic ocean (888 mb). That record stood until the 2005 hurricane season when WILMA set a new record of 882 mb. The world record low sea level pressure, 870 mb, was set in a SE Asian typhoon in 1979.