Current Skill
¥0-12 hrs: Can track individual severe storms
¥12-48 hrs: Can predict daily weather changes well, including regions threatened by severe weather.
¥3-5 days: Can predict major winter storms, excessive heat and cold snaps. Rainfall forecasts are less accurate.
¥6-15 days: Can predict average temp and rain over 5 day period well, but daily changes are not forecast well.
¥30-90 days: Some skill for average temp but not so much for rainfall over period. Forecasts use combination of model forecasts and statistical relationships (e.g. El Nino).
¥90-360 days: ÒSlightÓ skill for SST anomalies.