Why NWP Forecasts Go Awry
¥All analyses contain errors
¥Regions with sparse or low quality observations
¥- Oceans have ÒpoorerÓ data than continents
¥Instruments contain measurement error
¥- A 20oC reading does not exactly equal 20oC
¥Even a precise measurement at a point location might not accurately represent the big picture
¥- Radiosonde ascent through isolated cumulus