Why NWP Forecasts Go Awry
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All analyses contain errors
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Regions with sparse or low quality observations
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- Oceans have ÒpoorerÓ data than continents
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Instruments contain measurement error
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- A 20
o
C reading does not exactly equal 20
o
C
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Even a precise measurement at a point location
might not accurately represent the big picture
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- Radiosonde ascent through isolated cumulus