Atmospheric
Predictability
The atmosphere is like the ski slope with
moguls!
¥The uncertainty in the initial
conditions grow during the
evolution of a weather forecast.
So
a pinpoint forecast made for a long time in the future is
worthless, no better than a guess!¥There is a limited amount of predictability, but only for a short period of time.
Loss
of predictability is an attribute of nature. It is not an
artifact of computer models.