NATS 101

Lecture 30
Hurricanes

Supplemental References for TodayÕs Lecture
Aguado, E. and J. E. Burt, 2001: Understanding Weather & Climate, 2nd Ed. 505 pp. Prentice Hall. (ISBN 0-13-027394-5)
Danielson, E. W., J. Levin and E. Abrams, 1998: Meteorology. 462 pp. McGraw-Hill. (ISBN 0-697-21711-6)

Types of Tropical Cyclones
Cyclone Type Winds
Tropical Depression 25-39 mph
Tropical Storm 40-74 mph
Hurricane/Typhoon/Cyclone ³ 75 mph
Most Depressions do not develop into Storms
Majority of Storms reach Hurricane status

Some Hurricane Extremes
Lowest Central Pressure Pressure
Pacific: Typhoon Tip 1979 870 mb
Atlantic: Hurricane Wilma 2005 882 mb
Costliest Hurricanes Cost-Loss
Hurricane Andrew 1992 $25 billion
Hurricane Katrina 2005 $156 billion?*
Bangladesh Cyclone 1970 300,000 dead

Andrew 1992 Time Sequence
Katrina
2005 Hurricane Summary from NASA

U.S. Hurricane Deaths and Costs
Hurricane Deaths in US
Hurricane Lecture Overview
What are the primary differences between hurricanes and extratropical cyclones?
When and where do hurricanes form?
How do hurricanes intensify?
What is the structure of a hurricane?
What kind damage do hurricanes inflict?
When and where do hurricanes dissipate?

Differences Between Tropical and Extratropical Storms
Strong Fronts
Cold at Storm Center Aloft
Strongest Winds Aloft
Forms outside Tropics
Diameter of 500-1000 miles
Energy Source: Horizontal Temperature Contrast
No Fronts
Warm at Storm Center Aloft
Strongest Winds near Surface
Forms over Tropical Oceans
Diameter of 200-500 miles
Energy Source: Energy Fluxes from Warm Ocean

Where Hurricanes Form?
Atlantic Hurricane Frequency
Occur in Warm Season
Maximum Likelihood when Sea Surface Temperatures are Warmest-September
Average of ~6 Per Year
Large Yearly Variability
Fewer in El Nino Years
More in La Nina Years

Atlantic Hurricane Tracks
Atlantic hurricanes tend to form in the Middle Tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea
They usually propagate westward before turning  northward and then northeastward
They dissipate rapidly over land

Hurricane Steering
Hurricane Necessary Ingredients
Warm Water with T ³ 82oF Deep Warmth > 200 ft
Converging Surface Winds Seedling Low Required
Conditionally Unstable Air Supports Deep Convection
Widespread, Deep Humid Air  Supplies More Latent Heat
Weak Vertical Wind Shear Shear Shreds Storm Apart
Diverging Winds Aloft

Where do Seedling Vortices Come?
Lots of Places and Ways
3D Flow within Hurricanes
Thermal Structure of Hurricane
Radar of AndrewÕs Landfall
Most intense rainfall is along the eyewall.
Fastest surface winds are along the eyewall.
Region inside of eye is dry with light winds

Eye of Hurricane Luis 1995
Asymmetry of Hurricane Winds
Hurricane Intensity Scale
Primary Hurricane Hazards
Wind Damage
Large-Scale Hurricane Circulation Itself
Embedded Tornadoes
Flooding
Heavy Rains Far Inland, 5Ó-10Ó Common
Storm Surge along Shoreline

Hurricanes Spawn Tornadoes
Tornadoes embedded within an overland hurricane tend to be weak (category F1-F2)
But they are embedded within an environment with 65+ kt winds.
Causes hurricane wind damage to be localized.

Inland Flooding-Agnes 1972
Even weak hurricanes can be catastrophic, hundreds of miles inland.
Agnes 1972, category 1 storm for a few hours.
Agnes merged with a slow-moving ET cyclone.
Up to 15Ó of rain in 24 h fell over Pennsylvania.
Previous flood records exceeded by 6 ft.
Damage > $10B in inflation adjusted dollars.
Costliest U.S. storm prior to Andrew and Katrina.

Storm Surge I
Storm Surge II
Storm Surge III
Winds and Storm Surge
Surge Damage
Hurricane Decay
Trends in Hurricanes?
Additional Hurricane Information
NASA hurricane images and information
Fall 2005 Atmo 336 section on Hurricanes
2005 Hurricane season summary
Saharan Air Layer (SAL) and hurricanes (2004)  & (2006)
NASA Katrina information
Latest NASA Hurricane info

Summary: Hurricanes
What are differences between hurricanes and extratropical cyclones?
Many significant ones! See earlier slide.
Where and when do hurricanes form?
5-20¡ latitude over oceans during warm season
How do hurricanes intensify?
Energy source is surface energy fluxes from the underlying warm ocean

Summary: Hurricanes
What is the structure of a hurricane?
Eyewall - strongest winds,  heaviest rain
Eye - dry with light winds
What kind damage do hurricanes inflict?
Can be catastrophic due to high winds, torrential rains, and coastal storm surges
When and where do hurricanes dissipate?
At landfall or when they go over cold water