Thursday Oct. 1, 2009
click here to download today's notes in a more printer friendly format.

Music today featured Andrea Bocelli & Elisa in  La Voce del Silenzio and Andrea Bocelli with Laura Pausini in Dare to Live (Vivere).

The Experiment #1 reports have been graded.  You are allowed to revise your report and try to raise your grade if you want to.  Revised reports are due in 2 weeks - on or before Thu., Oct. 15.  Please return your original report with your revised report.  You don't need to rewrite your whole report, only sections where you want to earn additional credit.

The latest Optional Assignment was handed out in class and is due next Thursday (Oct. 8).

1st half of class
Today we'll learn about some of the weather conditions that precede and follow passage of warm and cold front.  There has been a change in the weather in Tucson caused by passage of a cold front or something resembling a cold front.  Temperatures are expected to be significantly lower for the remainder of the week. 

A crossectional view of a cold front is shown below:



Here are some of the specific weather changes

Weather variable
Behind
Passing
Ahead
Temperature
cool, cold, colder*

warm
Dew Point
usually much drier*

may be moist (though that is often
not the case here in the desert southwest)
Winds
from the northwest
gusty winds (dusty)
from the southwest
Clouds, Weather
clearing
rain clouds, thunderstorms in
narrow band along the front
(if the warm air mass is moist)
might see some high clouds
Pressure
rising
reaches a minimum
falling

* the coldest air might follow passage of a cold front by a day or two.  Nighttime temperatures often plummet in the cold dry air behind a cold front.

A temperature drop is probably the most obvious change associated with a cold front.  Here is southern Arizona, gusty winds and a wind shift are also often noticeable when a cold front passes.

The pressure changes that precede and follow a cold front are not something we would see or feel but are very useful when trying to locate a front on a weather map.

In the next figure we started with some weather data plotted on a surface map using the station model notation. 


Before trying to locate a cold front, we needed to draw in a few isobars and map out the pressure pattern.  In some respects fronts are like spokes on a wheel - they rotate counterclockwise around centers of low pressure.  It makes sense to first determine the location of the low pressure center, that is where one end of the front will originate.

Isobars are drawn at 4 mb increments beginning at 1000 mb.  Some of the allowed values are shown on the right side of the figure.  The highest pressure on the map is 1003.0 mb, the lowest is 994.9 mb.  We will only need isobars with values that fall between these extremes, thus we have drawn in  996 mb and 1000 mb isobars.

The next step was to try to locate the warm air mass in the picture.  There's an air mass in the lower right with fairly uniform temperatures in the 60s; this area has been shaded red.

We drew in the cold front at the boundary between cooler air and the warm air mass.  The cold front seems to be properly postioned.  The air ahead of the front is warm, moist, has winds blowing from the S or SW, and the pressure is falling.  These are all things you would expect to find ahead of a cold front.

The air behind the front is colder, drier, winds are blowing from the NW, and the pressure is falling.  Overcast skies at two cities and a rain shower at one city are found right along the front.


Next we went through the same procedure with warm fronts.
Here's the crossectional view


Here are the weather changes in advance of and following the frontal passage.

Weather Variable
Behind (after)
Passing
Ahead (before)
Temperature
warmer

cool or cold
Dew point
may be moister

drier
Winds
from S or SW

from E or SE
Clouds, Weather
clearing

wide variety of clouds well ahead of the front,
may be a wide variety of types of precipitation also.
Pressure
rising
minimum
falling

And here is the surface map analysis:


In this case the highest and lowest pressures were 998.9 mb and 991.8 mb.  992 mb and a 996 mb isobars were drawn in.

We located the warm air mass and tentatively drew a warm front ahead of it.  There's a very clear wind shift E and ESE ahead of the warm front becoming southerly behind the warm front.  There's a big temperature change: 60s behind the warm front & 40s ahead of the warm front.  There's also a fairly extensive region with overcast skies, rain and snow ahead of the front.  So the warm front seems to be correctly positioned

Note there was also good evidence of a cold front on the map.  Temperature go from the 60s ahead of the cold front to the 30s and 40s behind the front.  Winds in the warm air ahead of the cold front are from the SW and turn to the NW behind the cold front.


Next we went back to the surface map example from Wed., Feb. 11.  When we looked at the map last week we were trying to figure out what was causing the clouds in the NE portion of the map and what was causing the rain shower along the Gulf Coast.




We've added a warm and cold front to the picture.  The warm front is probably what is producing most of the widespread cloudiness and precipitation in the NE portion of the map (rising air motions caused by surface winds converging into the low pressure center are also contributing).  The cold front is producing the showers along the Gulf Coast.


2nd half of class
Maps showing conditions at various altitudes above the ground are also drawn.  Upper level conditions can affect the development and movement of surface features (and vice versa). 

We started with three basic things to know about upper level charts.  First the overall appearance is somewhat different from a surface weather map.  On a surface map you generally find circular (more or less) centers of high and low pressure.  You can also find closed high and low pressure centers at upper levels, but mostly you find a wavy pattern like sketched below.  The busy looking figure drawn in class has been split into 3 figures for clarity.


The u-shaped portion of the pattern is called a trough.  The n-shaped portion is called a ridge.


Troughs are produced by large volumes of cool or cold air (the cold air is found between the ground and the upper level that the map depicts).  The western half of the country in the map above would probably be experiencing colder than average temperatures.  A large upper level trough moved over the western US in the last day or so.  The air that was over Tucson has been replaced with a much cooler air mass. 

Large volumes of warm or hot air produce ridges.



The winds on upper level charts blow parallel to the contour lines.  On a surface map the winds cross the isobars slightly, spiralling into centers of low pressure and outward away from centers of high pressure.  The upper level winds generally blow from west to east.


Next looked at some of the interactions between features on surface and upper level charts.


http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/courses/spring09/nats101s2/lecture_notes/ul_charts/sfc_ul_relationships01.jpg

Centers of HIGH and LOW pressure are shown on the surface map.  The surface low pressure center, together with the cold and warm fronts, is a middle latitude storm.

Note how the counterclockwise winds spinning around the LOW move warm air northward (behind the warm front on the eastern side of the LOW) and cold air southward (behind the cold front on the western side of the LOW).  Clockwise winds spinning around the HIGH also move warm and cold air.  The surface winds are shown with thin brown arrows on the surface map.

Note the ridge and trough features on the upper level chart.  We learned that warm air is found below an upper level ridge.  Now you can begin to see where this warm air comes from.  Warm air is found west of the HIGH and to the east of the LOW.   This is where the two ridges on the upper level chart are also found.  You expect to find cold air below an upper level trough.  This cold air is being moved into the middle of the US by the northerly winds that are found between the HIGH and the LOW. 

Note the yellow X marked on the upper level chart directly above the surface LOW.  This is a good location for a surface LOW to form, develop, and strengthen (strengthening means the pressure in the surface low will get even lower than it is now - you'll sometimes hear that called "deepening").  The reason for this is that the yellow X is a location where there is often upper level divergence.  Similary the pink X is where you often find upper level convergence.  This could cause the pressure in the center of the surface high pressure to get even higher (that is sometimes called "building").



We need to look at this in a little more detail to understand how upper level winds can affect the development or intensification of a surface storm.  This next section might be a little confusing and you might need to read through it a couple of times.

 

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/courses/spring09/nats101s2/lecture_notes/ul_charts/sfc_conv.jpg

This figure (see p. 42 in the photocopied Classnotes) shows a cylinder of air positioned above a surface low pressure center.  The pressure at the bottom of the cylinder is determined by the weight of the air overhead.  The surface winds are spinning counterclockwise and spiraling in toward the center of the surface low.  These converging surface winds add air to the cylinder.  Adding air to the cylinder means the cylinder will weigh more and you would expect the surface pressure at the bottom of the cylinder to increase (this would be called "filling"). 

We'll just make up some numbers, this might make things clearer.

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/courses/spring09/nats101s2/lecture_notes/ul_charts/expected.jpg

You'll find this figure on p. 42a in the Class Notes.  We will assume the surface low has 960 mb pressure.   Imagine that each of the surface wind arrows brings in enough air to increase the pressure at the center of the LOW by 10 mb.  You would expect the pressure at the center of the LOW to increase from 960 mb to 1000 mb. 

It's just like a bank account.  You have $960 in the bank and you make four $10 dollar deposits.  You would expect your bank account balance to increase from $960 to $1000. 

But what if the surface pressure decreased from 960 mb to 950 mb as shown in the following figure?  Or in terms of the bank account, wouldn't you be surprised if, after making four $10 dollar deposits, the balance dropped from $960 to $950.

The next figure shows us what could be happening (back to p. 42 in the Class Notes).

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/courses/fall08/nats101s2/lecture_notes/ul_charts/ul_div.jpg

There may be some upper level divergence (more arrows leaving the cylinder at some point above the ground than going in ).  Upper level divergence removes air from the cylinder and would decrease the weight of the cylinder (and that would lower the surface pressure)

We need to determine which of the two (converging winds at the surface or divergence at upper levels) is dominant.  That will determine what happens to the surface pressure.

Again some actual numbers might help (see p. 42b in the Class Notes)

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/courses/spring09/nats101s2/lecture_notes/ul_charts/budget.jpg

The 40 millibars worth of surface convergence is shown at Point 1.  Up at Point 2 there are 50 mb of air entering the cylinder but 100 mb leaving.  That is a net loss of 50 mb.  At Point 3 we see the overall result, a net loss of 10 mb.  The surface pressure should decrease from 960 mb to 950 mb.  That change is reflected in the next picture (found at the bottom of p. 42b in the Class Notes).

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/courses/spring09/nats101s2/lecture_notes/ul_charts/balance.jpg

The surface pressure is 950 mb.  This means there is more of a pressure difference between the low pressure in the center of the storm and the pressure surrounding the storm.  The surface storm has intensified and the surface winds will blow faster and carry more air into the cylinder (the surface wind arrows each now carry 12.5 mb of air instead of 10 mb).  The converging surface winds add 50 mb of air to the cylinder (Point 1), the upper level divergence removes 50 mb of air from the cylinder (Point 2).  Convergence and divergence are in balance (Point 3).  The storm won't intensify any further.



http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/courses/spring09/nats101s2/lecture_notes/ul_charts/sfc_ul_relationships02.jpg

Now that you have some idea of what upper level divergence looks like (more air leaving than is going in) you are in a position to understand another one of the relationships between the surface and upper level winds. 

One of the things we have learned about surface LOW pressure is that the converging surface winds create rising air motions.  The figure above gives you an idea of what can happen to this rising air (it has to go somewhere).  Note the upper level divergence in the figure: two arrows of air coming into the point "DIV" and three arrows of air leaving (more air going out than coming in is what makes this divergence).  The rising air can, in effect, supply the extra arrow's worth of air.

Three arrows of air come into the point marked "CONV" on the upper level chart and two leave (more air coming in than going out).  What happens to the extra arrow?  It sinks, it is the source of the sinking air found above surface high pressure.


There were about 10 minutes left in class at this point.  There was pretty general agreement that it would be good to postpone a short video that I had wanted to show until next Tuesday.  The video documents the first trip up into the stratosphere by balloon in May 1931.  Auguste Piccard designed and had the balloon and gondola built.  He was accompanied by Paul Kipfer on his first voyage.  We'll also learn about Jacques Piccard (Auguste's son) and Bertrand Piccard (Auguste's grandson) next week.