What drives climate change?

Weather is what happens outside your home this morning. Climate is what you can expect to happen outside during your 30-year mortgage. Over time small changes can make a big difference. Driven by tremendous flows of heat over the surface of the planet, Earth's climate system is influenced by innumerable interacting variables. Click on areas of the drawing below to find out more.

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Graphics and text from May 1998 National Geographic, Vol. 193, No. 5

1. Solar Input

Having traveled 93 million miles, solar energy hits the upper atmosphere at about the intensity of three 100-watt bulbs per square yard -- one-third of which is reflected back into space. The rest of the energy warms Earth and fuels its weather engine.

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Graphics and text from May 1998 National Geographic, Vol. 193, No. 5

2. The Atmosphere

A delicate balance of gases gives Earth an average temperature of 15 degrees Celsius (59F). Greenhouse gases -- water vapor, CO2, methane, nitrous oxide, and others -- absorb heat energy, then re-radiate a portion of it back to the surface.

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Graphics and text from May 1998 National Geographic, Vol. 193, No. 5

3. The Oceans

Covering 70% of Earth's surface, oceans are the chief source of water vapor in the air. Oceans store heat efficiently and transport it thousands of miles. When warm water collects in one place, evaporation and cloud buildup may increase. marine organisms consume huge amounts of CO2.

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Graphics and text from May 1998 National Geographic, Vol. 193, No. 5

4. The Water Cycle

Higher air temperatures can mean increased water evaporation and the melting of sea and land ice. Although water vapor is the most potent greenhouse gas, evaporation also leads to cloud formation, which can have a cooling effect.

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Graphics and text from May 1998 National Geographic, Vol. 193, No. 5

5. Clouds

The role of clouds is poorly understood, but they are known to both cool Earth by reflecting solar energy and warm Earth by trapping heat being radiated up from the surface.

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Graphics and text from May 1998 National Geographic, Vol. 193, No. 5

6. Ice and Snow

Bright white expanses of ice and snow reflect sunlight back into space, cooling the planet. Melting sea ice draws heat from the ocean. In the Northern Hemisphere snow cover has decreased about 10% in the past 21 years, but no significant melting of the Antarctic ice sheet has been detected.

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Graphics and text from May 1998 National Geographic, Vol. 193, No. 5

7. Land Surface

When solar energy penetrates the land surface it is converted into heat, most of which radiates upward quickly. Still, topography and land use can have major effects on climate. Mountain ranges can block clouds, creating dry "shadows" downwind. Sloping land allows more water runoff, leaving the land and air drier. A tropical forest will soak up CO2, but once cleared for cattle ranching, the same land becomes a source of methane.

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Graphics and text from May 1998 National Geographic, Vol. 193, No. 5

8. Human Influences

Adding to the mix of greenhouse gases naturally present in the atmosphere, human activities magnify warming effects. Fuel combustion is the chief cause of rising CO2 concentrations. Ranching, rice farming, and landfills have raised methane levels. Aerosols, such as smoke and sulfate from industry, reflect sunlight and have temporary, localized cooling effects.

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Graphics and text from May 1998 National Geographic, Vol. 193, No. 5